Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://repository.ucc.edu.co/handle/20.500.12494/41723
Title: Prediction of the availability of carbon reserves through the probabilistic random walk for the year 2015 in Colombia
Author: Rodríguez, J
Correa, C
Oviedo, Elizabeth
Sandoval Sanchez, Nubia Mireya
Prieto, S
Email autor: elizabeth.oviedo@campusucc.edu.co
Issue Date: 2019
Keywords: Decision making
Forecasting
Random processes
Carbon reservoirs
Colombia
Predictive values
Probabilistic behavior
Random Walk
Real values
Carbon
Abstract: Background: From a methodology based on probabilistic random walk, apparently random phenomena as epidemic outbreaks have been studied, achieving physic-mathematical predictions with percentages higher than 90%. Objective : to predict the availability of the carbon reservoir for the year 2015 in Colombia through probabilistic random walk. Material and methods: values reported by the DANE between 1994 and 2015 of the availability of carbon reservoirs were taken and analyzed to apply a methodology based on probabilistic random walk and give a predictive value for the year 2015. Results: it was predicted a value of 67,33 for the availability of carbon reservoirs in 2015; a success percentage of 92,24% was achieved with regards to the real value reported by the DANE for the year 2015. Conclusions: the behavior of the availability of the carbon reservoirs in Colombia obeys to a predictable probabilistic behavior based on a methodology grounded in the random walk, being useful for the decision making and public policies. © 2019 Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd.
Publisher: Institute of Physics
metadata.dc.type: Artículo
Citation: Rodríguez J,Correa C,OVIEDO E,SANDOVAL N,Prieto S. Prediction of the availability of carbon reserves through the probabilistic random walk for the year 2015 in Colombia. J Phys Conf Ser. 2019. 1. (1):p. 1-7. .
Other Identifiers: https://doi.org/10.15446/agron.colomb.v34n1supl.57645
http://erevistas.saber.ula.ve/index.php/actualidadcontable/article/view/11175/21921922283
Appears in Collections:Artículos Científicos

Files in This Item:
There are no files associated with this item.


Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.